Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Looking for a Vacation Home Amigo?


I just got back from a well deserved vacation in Mexico. While I am back to my day-to-day routine my mind is still in Puerto Vallarta. The weather was excellent, the ocean was warm and the locals are great people. Although, just getting away from the rainy cold weather of the west coast would make anyplace with a temperature above 15 degrees seem like paradise.

What interested me most about Puerto Vallarta was the real estate investment possibilities. You can get into this market for as little as $80k US for a 2 bdrm - 2 bath condo however I'm sure "you get what you pay for" applies. There are several options for condos not on the beach but within waking distance priced in the $140 to $200K range. Beach condos will cost you an easy $500,000 to $1,000,000 plus. There are also options for buying a house for those interested.

With vacation rental fees in the $100 to $200 USD per night for a 2 bdrm - 2 bath condo close to amenities but not on the beach, purchasing one with a positive cash flow should be attainable.

The limited market research I did while on vacation indicated that the real estate market in Puerto Vallarta has been experiencing a 5 year boom with some signs of a turn. Such as the number of listings increasing over the previous year and speculation that the US credit problems will somewhat weaken the real estate market in Mexico.

There are a few things we can take from this; first, every boom runs out of steam and is followed by a pullback at some point.

Next, this market is also predominantly driven by US buyers. Now that the consensus amongst most experts is that the US is in a recession, discretionary spending on a vacation home should decline.

In addition, real estate markets in some US states like Florida and California are a buyers market increasing the competition for vacation properties in general.

Finally, the US sub prime impact. I don't think that this alone will have a major impact on the real estate market in Mexico for the following reasons:
* most sub prime loans were made to people whom could not afford their first home.
* others who got caught up by the easy money availability invested locally.
That being said, the current tightening of credit availability will have some impact on the vacation home market the question is just how much.

The vacation home market in general has been strong for the past several years in most areas and some markets will continue to remain strong in the future due to demand from retiring baby boomers with cash to burn. However not all these markets will play out the same.

If you have been considering purchasing a vacation home now is the time to start researching and paying attention to the local real estate market you are interested in.

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